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research-project
Research project

SURPRISE

Status: Ongoing project

In this study, clinical models are developed to predict 1-year mortality for patients with advanced cancer and patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

What we do

About our project

Background


Advance care planning is necessary for patients with chronic disease who are in their last year of life. To timely start advance care planning, it is important to identify those patients. The ‘surprise question’ – Would I be surprise if this patient died in the next 12 months? – is recommended, but it has a moderate sensitivity and low positive predictive value in the prediction of 1-year mortality.

This study


Using predictors as identified in literature, clinical models to predict 1-year mortality in patients with cancer and patients with chronic obstructive disease will be developed. An e-learning to support physicians in their communication with patients who are in their last year of life, will also be developed.

Funds & Grants

Collaborations

Collaborations within Erasmus MC

  • Department of Public Health, research group Medical decisions in end-of-life care.

Collaborations outside of Erasmus MC

  • Admiraal De Ruyter Ziekenhuis
  • Amphia Ziekenhuis
  • Ikazia Ziekenhuis
  • Maasstad Ziekenhuis
  • Van Weel Bethesda Ziekenhuis

Our team

  • Carin C.D. van der Rijt
  • Agnes van der Heiden
  • Catherine Owusuaa